- William E. Rees, PhD, FRSC, orignally circulated prior to COP 15, then posted on the Tyee (http://thetyee.ca)
In the lead-up to Copenhagen, the Canadian governmentâs (non)policy on global warmingborders on the criminally negligent. This may seem an outrageous assertion, particularly to those lost in the thickening fog of deception churned out by climate change deniers, but please bear with me for a moment.
First, climate change, particularly global warming, is an undisputed fact. The mean globaltemperature has increased by .8 C° over the last century, glaciers are melting, the Arctic sea iceis disappearing, the trade winds are migrating pole-ward, deserts are expanding and sea levels are risingâall ahead of climate model projections.
Second, while it is true that Earthâs climate is primarily determined by various non-humanfactors, including solar output and shifting ocean currents, there have been no changes in these sufficient to explain ongoing temperature increases and attendant effects.
Third, by contrast, human activities have significantly increased atmospheric greenhouse gasconcentrations. Carbon dioxide is up 38% from a preindustrial 280 parts per million to 388 ppm today. Other GHGs have climbed proportionately even moreâbut the CO
2 increases alone are more than sufficient to account for the observed warming.
Fourth, increasingly severe weather events are already displacing or killing tens of thousands ofpeople annually and this trend is likely to worsen. In 2007, âThe Age of Consequencesâ report by Washingtonâs Center for Strategic and International Studies argued that: âIn the case of
severe climate change, corresponding to an average increase in global temperature of 2.6 C° by 2040⌠nations around the world will be overwhelmed by the scale of changeâŚâ Contributing author Prof Leon Fuerth noted that rich countries could âgo through a 30-year process of kicking people away from the lifeboatâ as the worldâs poorest face the worst environmental consequences. This with only 2.6° warmingâ estimates today suggest a truly catastrophic 4° to6° increase is likely without dramatic preventative action.
In this light, climate change deniers defend a position that will kill millions of people, destroy critical ecosystems and undermine prospects for global civilization. Common sense and social justice demand that the worldâs nations move forcefully to prevent the anticipated wave of eco2 violence. Failing to act renders foot-dragging governments guilty of moral negligence. Indeed, ifthis is really a global village, shouldnât the world community be working to establish
legal grounds for negligence actions?
Canadian common law provides useful guidance. Environmental negligence suits focus on compensation for loss caused by unreasonable conduct that damages legally protected interests. Unreasonable conduct means doing something that a prudent or reasonable person would not do, or failing to do something that a reasonable person would do. The plaintiff must establish certain key elements of the tortâ cause in fact and proximate cause, damages, legal duty, and breach of the standard of care. Note that fault may be found even in the case of
unintended harm if it stems from unreasonable conduct.
The Criminal Code (Section 219) is even clearer that lack of intent to harm is no defence if damage results from conscious acts performed in careless disregard for others: âEveryone is criminally negligent who (a) in doing anything, or (b) in omitting to do anything that it is his duty to do, shows wanton or reckless disregard for the lives or safety of other personsâ (whereâdutyâ means a duty imposed by law). Significantly, Section 222(5)(b) states that âa person commits homicide when,
directly or indirectly, by any means, he causes the death of a human being, by being negligent (emphasis added).â
How might such reasoning apply to the international arena? The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has established with greater than 90% certainty that GHG emissions from human activities have caused âmost of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th centuryâ and climate change is clearly capable of causing catastrophicdamage. The failure or refusal of major CO
2 emitters to reduce their emissions therefore arguably breaches a reasonable standard of care. What is missing in international law is acknowledgment of the offense and the capacity to create and enforce a legal duty to act.
There is no
prima facie reason why the behavioural standards imposed by international law should not be as rigorous as those required by domestic law. If human-induced climate change is a cause of death and destruction, then Canada and the United States, countries with among the highest CO2 emissions per capita on the planet, are guilty of âwanton or reckless disregard for the lives or safety of other personsâ. Pity that they seem poised once again to undermine the global communityâs efforts to reach international agreement on serious GHG emissions reductions.
Professor Bill Rees UBC School of Community and Regional Planning 6333 Memorial Road Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z2
wrees@interchange.ubc.ca
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